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Cards on Record
Next post ·Today's Cards 07:50 ET
Paper record · 1 Sep – 16 Oct 2026

Called before.Graded after.Nothing deleted.

+11.19R net of fees 63 cards 45 / 18 wins / losses 71% won
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Two posts a day

Called at 07:50. Graded at 17:45.

The morning post names the card before it can trigger. The evening post grades it, net of fees, and replies to the morning post.

Today's CardsAs posted · Thu 15 Oct · posted 08:24 ET
A hot inflation print and a scare over AI credit have the tape on its back foot. Two new cards on the S&P future, both live only from 10:15: a short under 7,729.5 and a long over 7,772.5, and the short sat close to its line at posting. The bitcoin short is open past its first target with its stop at entry. Nasdaq, gold and the bitcoin long are still waiting on their lines.
▸ ES short2026-10-15-ES-1
ES loses the overnight low: the third day sold · 15m close below 7,729.5 from 10:15 ET, stop 7,772.5 · Near trigger at posting.
▸ ES long2026-10-15-ES-2
ES takes back Wednesday's close: the gap bought · 15m close above 7,772.5 from 10:15 ET, stop 7,729.5
+ 6 macro and crypto basket calls, graded separately · 4 cards still working from earlier posts
The RecordAs posted · Fri 16 Oct · graded 16 Oct 17:06 ET
One small win closed today: Thursday's S&P long took its first target, then stopped near even. This morning's S&P short is open past its second target, and the gold long is open and under water. The bitcoin long has not fired, and the Nasdaq long ran out without triggering. It was a rough day for the calls: all six missed.
▲ WIN2026-10-15-ES-2
ES long, T1 hit, then stopped: +0.21R after fees (+0.21R gross, fees under 0.01R)
▸ ES short2026-10-16-ES-1
open, marked +0.78R at the close of grading (not a result), T2 hit
▸ BTC long2026-10-16-BTC-1
not triggered (15m close above 83,041.42), still working
▸ GC long2026-10-16-GC-1
open, marked −0.65R at the close of grading (not a result)
▸ NQ long2026-10-14-NQ-1
expired untriggered: no position, no grade
+ 6 macro and crypto basket calls, graded separately · Paper record (pre-launch): 69 cards · 47W 22L · +7.11R net (+8.38R gross) · 68% won · Posted before gold moved to its own shadow line on 17 October; the board below has the record as it stands
The board

63 cards. 18 losses. All on it.

Every card the desk has graded, oldest first. Drag the playhead or press play; the line, the totals and the receipt follow it. Pre-launch paper record, 1 September 2026 to 16 October 2026.

+11.19Rnet of fees
+12.45Rbefore fees
0.02Raverage fee a card
45 / 18wins / losses · 71% won
−3.63Rworst stretch so far
Gold · shadow 6 cards · 2 / 4 · −4.08R net of fees · 33% won Kept out of the record above from 17 October 2026: still called before and graded after, losers included, until a 20-card forward run shows it pays.
The record, card by cardR net of fees
Receipt
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A day on the desk

Four steps. Same every day.

Tap a step. The morning post is the proof: its timestamp comes before the bar that triggers the card.

The grading spec

Rules the code follows.

No person and no model decides whether a card won. The grade comes from the bars and these rules.

Bars15-minute bars from the feed the card is graded on: spot for BTC, ETH and SOL; for the futures the contract the card was written on, kept across a roll; leader stocks on regular hours only.
TriggerClose triggers on the bar's close; touch triggers on its high or low. Bars before a card's start time cannot trigger it.
FillAt the triggering bar's close. Beyond the chase price there is no fill, and nobody chases a gap.
AmbiguityOne bar touches stop and target: the stop counts. A bar that opens past the stop exits at the open.
Scale-outEqual parts at each target. Stop to entry after T1, to T1 after T2.
FeesEntries and stops as market orders, targets as resting orders, in R of the card's own risk. WIN or LOSS is decided net.
UnitR. 1R is trigger to stop. No dollars, no account sizes. The record leads with net R and the card count.

How the cards are made

Cards written each morning by a model analyst under a method and rules I design and approve. Code grades every card each evening against real 15-minute bars, fees and losers included.

What the desk never does

  • ×Place trades or manage money
  • ×Give advice about your account
  • ×Quote dollars or position sizes
  • ×Delete a losing card or a post
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Get the cards at 07:50. Check the grade at 17:45.

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The public record starts the day the channel goes live. Everything on this page is the pre-launch paper record.